Strategic Assessment Report

The Search for Gigawatts

Global Opportunity Matrix: Mapping stranded power assets for AI scaling infrastructure deployment

December 2025The Iron Cloud Triangle Framework
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Figure 1

Worldwide Stranded Power & Sovereign SanctuariesCategory View

Legend:
Sanctuary

Tier 1 access, optimal efficiency

Arbitrage

Tier 2 access, strategic opportunity

Forbidden

Embargoed or non-viable assets

Dark Horse

Domestic arbitrage opportunities

Source: Code & Capital – Iron Cloud Triangle Framework Analysis, December 2025

Figure 2 — Power Type Distribution

Power Type Distribution

Breakdown of 75 stranded power assets by generation type

Hydro47 (62.7%)
Flared Gas10 (13.3%)
Solar/Wind6 (8.0%)
Geothermal4 (5.3%)
Hydro Pumped Storage3 (4.0%)
Wind2 (2.7%)
Solar2 (2.7%)
Coal1 (1.3%)

75

Total Assets

47

Hydro Assets

10

Flared Gas

10

Solar/Wind

SanctuaryTier 1 access, optimal efficiency
ArbitrageTier 2 access, strategic opportunity
ForbiddenEmbargoed or non-viable assets
Dark HorseDomestic arbitrage opportunities
Source: Code & Capital – Iron Cloud Triangle Framework Analysis, December 2025

Table 1 — Target Region Assessment Matrix

RegionCategoryPower AssetExport StatusClimateVerdict
QuebecHydro (Constrained)Tier 1Sub-arctic / Free CoolingDifficult
NewfoundlandHydro (~500MW+)Tier 1Sub-arctic / Free CoolingViable
British ColumbiaHydro (1.1GW new)Tier 1Cold ContinentalDifficult
ManitobaHydro (Deficit)Tier 1Continental ColdDifficult
North DakotaFlared Gas (~1GW+)Tier 1Continental ColdViable
TexasFlared Gas (>2GW)Tier 1Hot / High PUEViable
GreenlandHydro (Potential ~800MW)Tier 1Arctic / Free CoolingFrontier
Southeast AlaskaHydro (~9.8GW potential)Tier 1Subarctic / ColdFrontier
Kenai PeninsulaHydro (120MW)Tier 1Subarctic / ColdNiche
Tabasco/VeracruzFlared Gas (~2GW)Tier 2Tropical / HotDifficult
ParaguayHydro (~2GW surplus)Tier 2Sub-tropical / HumidViable
ParaguayHydro (~270MW expansion)Tier 2Sub-tropical / HumidViable
ArgentinaFlared Gas (~1.4GW)Tier 2Arid Steppe / CoolViable
ArgentinaHydro (1.3GW)Tier 2Patagonian ColdDifficult
ChileWind (Potential >10GW)Tier 2Sub-polar / Free CoolingDifficult
VenezuelaHydro (~4GW idle)RestrictedTropical / HotForbidden
BrazilHydro (11GW)Tier 2Tropical RainforestDifficult
ColombiaHydro (2.4GW)Tier 2Tropical AndeanDifficult
EcuadorHydro (1.5GW)Tier 2Amazonian / HumidDifficult
PeruHydro (~1GW)Tier 2Andean Highland / CoolViable
Potaro-SiparuniHydro (165MW planned)Tier 2Tropical RainforestWatch
Potaro-SiparuniHydro (7.6GW potential)Tier 2Tropical RainforestFrontier
La PazHydro (~200MW share)Tier 2Tropical / HumidNiche
CochabambaHydro (500MW combined)Tier 2Andean Highland / CoolWatch
N. NorwayHydro (>500MW surplus)Tier 1Arctic / Free CoolingViable
N. SwedenHydro (~1GW surplus)Tier 1Arctic / Free CoolingViable
IcelandGeo/Hydro (Constrained)Tier 1Oceanic ColdDifficult
FinlandNuclear/Wind surplusTier 1Nordic / Free CoolingViable
SpainSolar (Curtailment)Tier 1Mediterranean / HotViable
GeorgiaHydro (Seasonality)Tier 2Mountain / CoolDifficult
CarinthiaHydro Pumped (1.545GW)Tier 1Alpine / CoolViable
AlentejoSolar/Wind (~500MW+)Tier 1Mediterranean / HotViable
ValaisHydro Pumped (900MW)Tier 1Alpine / ColdViable
EthiopiaHydro (~2-5GW)Tier 2Tropical HighlandViable
AngolaHydro (~2GW)Tier 2Tropical SavannaDifficult
MozambiqueHydro (~2GW)Tier 2Tropical / HotDifficult
KenyaGeothermal (~900MW)Tier 2Rift Valley HighlandViable
DRCHydro (Theoretical)Tier 2/3*Tropical / HumidForbidden
South AfricaSolar/Wind (Off-grid)Tier 2Semi-Arid / HotViable
NigeriaFlared Gas (~50MW pilot)Tier 2Tropical / HotNiche
GhanaHydro (Constrained)Tier 2Tropical / HotDifficult
AlgeriaFlared Gas (Massive)Tier 2Desert / HotDifficult
MorogoroHydro (2.115GW)Tier 2Tropical SavannaViable
KarumaHydro (600MW surplus)Tier 2Tropical SavannaViable
Sirte BasinFlared Gas (>1GW)Tier 2Desert / HotForbidden
TeteHydro (2.01GW)Tier 2Tropical SavannaDifficult
SarawakHydro (~1GW surplus)Tier 2Tropical RainforestViable
LaosHydro (>2GW surplus)Tier 2Tropical MonsoonDifficult
BhutanHydro (Seasonal)Tier 2Himalayan ColdNiche
SiberiaHydro (>3GW surplus)RestrictedSiberian ColdForbidden
KyrgyzstanHydro (Planned 1.8GW)Tier 2Continental / ColdDifficult
TajikistanHydro (Under Const.)Tier 2Mountain / ColdWatch
KazakhstanCoal (Surplus/Deficit)Tier 2Continental SteppeDifficult
UzbekistanSolar/Wind (>1GW)Tier 2Desert / HotViable
TurkmenistanFlared Gas (Massive)Tier 2Desert / HotDifficult
IndonesiaHydro (9GW Planned)Tier 2Tropical RainforestWatch
PakistanHydro (Under Const.)Tier 2Mountain / CoolDifficult
NepalHydro (456MW)Tier 2Himalayan ColdDifficult
Basra/RumailaFlared Gas (~10GW)Tier 2Desert / Extreme HeatViable
KhuzestanFlared Gas (~3GW)Tier 2Desert / HotDifficult
SichuanHydro (10.2GW)RestrictedSub-tropical / CoolForbidden
YunnanHydro (16GW)RestrictedSub-tropical / CoolForbidden
VariousSolar/Wind (>10GW)Tier 2Various / HotDifficult
LuzonGeothermal (~2GW surplus)Tier 2Tropical / HotViable
Sumatra/JavaGeothermal (~27GW potential)Tier 2Tropical RainforestDifficult
Gobi DesertSolar/Wind (2GW)Tier 2Desert / Extreme ColdViable
Kachin StateHydro (6GW)Tier 2Tropical MonsoonForbidden
IrrawaddyHydro (~34GW surplus)Tier 2Tropical MonsoonDifficult
New ZealandHydro (~800MW)Tier 1Temperate / CoolViable
QueenslandSolar (Curtailment 2.66GW)Tier 1Tropical / HotViable
Western AustraliaSolar/Wind (Curtailment)Tier 1Mediterranean / HotViable
New South WalesHydro Pumped (2.2GW)Tier 1Temperate / CoolWatch
TasmaniaHydro (2.3GW / 14TWh)Tier 1Temperate / CoolViable
TaupoGeothermal (184MW)Tier 1Temperate / CoolNiche
Papua New GuineaHydro (251GW Potential)Tier 2Tropical RainforestFrontier

n = 75 target regions

Category Analysis

The Sanctuaries

Tier 1 regulatory access with optimal thermodynamic efficiency. These locations offer the lowest operational costs and highest security for sensitive AI training workloads.

QuebecNewfoundlandBritish ColumbiaManitobaGreenlandSoutheast AlaskaKenai PeninsulaN. NorwayN. SwedenIcelandFinlandSpainCarinthiaAlentejoValaisNew ZealandQueenslandWestern AustraliaNew South WalesTasmaniaTaupo

The Arbitrage Zone

Tier 2 access with presumption of approval. Strategic opportunities where scale advantages outweigh regulatory friction. Paraguay represents the prime "Goldilocks" target.

Tabasco/VeracruzParaguayParaguayArgentinaArgentinaChile+39 more

The Forbidden Batteries

Embargoed, sanctioned, or structurally non-viable assets. These represent "ghost assets" with no legal pathway for deployment despite significant power potential.

VenezuelaDRCSirte BasinSiberiaSichuanYunnanKachin State

The Dark Horse

Domestic arbitrage opportunities leveraging stranded gas assets. Behind-the-meter deployments bypass multi-year grid interconnection queues.

North DakotaTexas

Classification Key

Legend

Sanctuary

Tier 1 access, optimal efficiency

Arbitrage

Tier 2 access, strategic opportunity

Forbidden

Embargoed or non-viable assets

Dark Horse

Domestic arbitrage opportunities